Juan Cole: Bush is Putin's Enabler

Juan Cole of the Informed Comment blog writes in Salon that the Bush/Cheney invasion of Iraq in defiance of international law set precedent for Russia's invasion of Georgia.

In the run-up to the Iraq war, Bush officials repeated ad nauseam the mantra that Saddam Hussein had killed his own people. Thus, they helped create a case for unilateral "humanitarian intervention" of the sort Putin says Russia is now pursuing. Washington had failed to get a U.N. Security Council resolution authorizing a war on Iraq, and Iraq had not attacked the United States, so no principle of self-defense was at stake. But since all governments (even the United States under Abraham Lincoln) repress separatist movements, often ruthlessly, Bush was turning actions such as Saakashvili's attack on South Ossetia into a more legitimate cause for an outside power (especially one bordering it) to wage war against Georgia.

Indeed, Putin's invoking Bush's Iraq adventure points directly to the way in which Bush has enabled other world powers to act impulsively. With his doctrine of preemptive warfare, Bush single-handedly tore down the architecture of post-World War II international law erected by the founders of the United Nations to ensure that rogue states did not go about launching wars of aggression the way Hitler had. While safeguarding minorities at risk is a praiseworthy goal, the U.N. Charter states that the Security Council must approve a war launched for this purpose or any other, excepting self-defense. No individual nation is authorized to wage aggressive war on a vigilante basis, as Bush did in Iraq or Russia is now doing in the Caucasus.

This is one of the reasons that US leverage over Russia is limited, though not absent. Russia still wants to get into the World Trade Organization and to participate in a civilian nuclear project with the US that could be worth billions to them. The US needs cooperation from Russia to deter Iran's push for nuclear weapons as well as nuclear proliferation world-wide. It seems to me that those are bigger issues to the US than the fate of South Ossetia and Abkhazia. As Cole points out on Informed Comment today:

The Cheney line that Russia needs to be punished, and Rice's warning that Russia will be isolated, may make them feel good. But the US is much weaker after the increase in power of the oil and gas states like Russia and Iran this year, and isn't in a position to "isolate" Russia without at the same time giving a lot of indirect aid to Iran.

--Ballard Burgher