Sunday, July 28, 2013

Pollster Analyzes GOP Numbers


Eleanor Clift describes pollster Stanley Greenberg's ongoing work to analyze the state of the Republican party in The Daily Beast.

Hatred of President Obama – measured at 93 percent among those who identify with the Tea Party and 54 percent among moderates – unites the GOP. “Hatred of health-care reform is what gives all segments [of the party] purpose,” the survey found. Republicans are holding on in rural and small-town America and among married men and women, but these are not the fast-growing parts of the electorate. The survey finds Republicans intensely opposed to gay marriage, strongly favoring pro-life groups, and incorporating opposition to dealing with global warming as part of their values.

There is no one more negative about their own party than Republicans, Greenberg asserted. Disaffected moderates represent 25 percent of Republican voters, and report feeling “powerless.”...A significant number of moderates and “leaners” describe the GOP as “out of touch.”...The challenges the GOP faces today—a party that its own partisans find too extreme--is the mirror image of what Democrats experienced in the late eighties after losing three successive presidential elections.

Greenberg's recommendation to these GOP moderates:

 "If I were Jeb Bush, I would run as a moderate. I would try to lock in that 25 percent in the party–create a base. If he really did have a 25 percent base to carry through the primaries, maybe you can win the argument,” Greenberg said. “If I’m Jeb Bush or whoever will play that role, I wouldn’t try to move to the right – I would begin with that base.”
 

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