Silver: Dems Likely to Pass Health Care

Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight.com writes that it is looking like House Democrats will have the votes to pass the Senate's health care reform bill on Sunday.

It's sure starting to look like both the momentum and the math favor the Democrats and that something will have to go wrong to prevent them from getting to 216 votes on health care... But for what it's worth, the Intrade contract, which is trading at 75 percent right now, now looks about right to me or perhaps even a hair pessimistic.

Jonathan Chait of The New Republic agrees.

--Ballard Burgher